CupO'ReillyTrucks
Projected Results: Cup, O'Reilly, & Trucks at Bristol Motor Speedway
Thursday, September 17, 2026 at 5:38 PM
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Thumbnail: Chris Graythen / Getty Images
Here are Statcar's projected results for the Cup and O'Reilly Series races this weekend at Bristol Motor Speedway; these projections will be updated following qualifying for each series.
Please take into consideration that these rankings are generated with the goal of minimizing error between predicted and actual finishing position, so the drivers are being ordered in the "safest" way possible. Check the "This Week's Odds" page for Statcar's actual betting odds for the weekend!
Cup: Bass Pro Shops Night Race
Note: Updated after qualifying
| Pred Fin | Car # | Driver | Team | Make |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | Kyle Larson | Hendrick Motorsports | Chevrolet |
| 2 | 11 | Denny Hamlin | Joe Gibbs Racing | Toyota |
| 3 | 54 | Ty Gibbs | Joe Gibbs Racing | Toyota |
| 4 | 20 | Christopher Bell | Joe Gibbs Racing | Toyota |
| 5 | 77 | Carson Hocevar | Spire Motorsports | Chevrolet |
| 6 | 12 | Ryan Blaney | Team Penske | Ford |
| 7 | 22 | Joey Logano | Team Penske | Ford |
| 8 | 19 | Chase Briscoe | Joe Gibbs Racing | Toyota |
| 9 | 24 | William Byron | Hendrick Motorsports | Chevrolet |
| 10 | 23 | Bubba Wallace | 23XI Racing | Toyota |
| 11 | 9 | Chase Elliott | Hendrick Motorsports | Chevrolet |
| 12 | 48 | Alex Bowman | Hendrick Motorsports | Chevrolet |
| 13 | 2 | Austin Cindric | Team Penske | Ford |
| 14 | 6 | Brad Keselowski | RFK Racing | Ford |
| 15 | 60 | Ryan Preece | RFK Racing | Ford |
| 16 | 45 | Tyler Reddick | 23XI Racing | Toyota |
| 17 | 1 | Ross Chastain | Trackhouse Racing | Chevrolet |
| 18 | 17 | Chris Buescher | RFK Racing | Ford |
| 19 | 3 | Austin Dillon | Richard Childress Racing | Chevrolet |
| 20 | 71 | Michael McDowell | Spire Motorsports | Chevrolet |
| 21 | 16 | AJ Allmendinger | Kaulig Racing | Chevrolet |
| 22 | 43 | Erik Jones | Legacy Motor Club | Toyota |
| 23 | 7 | Daniel Suárez | Spire Motorsports | Chevrolet |
| 24 | 42 | John H. Nemechek | Legacy Motor Club | Toyota |
| 25 | 34 | Todd Gilliland | Front Row Motorsports | Ford |
| 26 | 97 | Shane Van Gisbergen | Trackhouse Racing | Chevrolet |
| 27 | 35 | Riley Herbst | 23XI Racing | Toyota |
| 28 | 21 | Josh Berry | Wood Brothers Racing | Ford |
| 29 | 88 | Connor Zilisch | Trackhouse Racing | Chevrolet |
| 30 | 38 | Zane Smith | Front Row Motorsports | Ford |
| 31 | 41 | Cole Custer | Haas Factory Team | Chevrolet |
| 32 | 33 | Austin Hill | Richard Childress Racing | Chevrolet |
| 33 | 47 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr | HYAK Motorsports | Chevrolet |
| 34 | 4 | Noah Gragson | Front Row Motorsports | Ford |
| 35 | 10 | Ty Dillon | Kaulig Racing | Chevrolet |
| 36 | 51 | Cody Ware | Rick Ware Racing | Chevrolet |
| 37 | 66 | Josh Bilicki | Garage 66 | Ford |
O'Reilly: Food City 300
Note: Updated after qualifying
| Pred Fin | Car # | Driver | Team | Make |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Carson Kvapil | JR Motorsports | Chevrolet |
| 2 | 7 | Justin Allgaier | JR Motorsports | Chevrolet |
| 3 | 00 | Sheldon Creed | Haas Factory Team | Chevrolet |
| 4 | 41 | Sam Mayer | Haas Factory Team | Chevrolet |
| 5 | 20 | Brandon Jones | Joe Gibbs Racing | Toyota |
| 6 | 19 | Brent Crews | Joe Gibbs Racing | Toyota |
| 7 | 88 | Rajah Caruth | JR Motorsports | Chevrolet |
| 8 | 18 | William Sawalich | Joe Gibbs Racing | Toyota |
| 9 | 8 | Sammy Smith | JR Motorsports | Chevrolet |
| 10 | 54 | Taylor Gray | Joe Gibbs Racing | Toyota |
| 11 | 17 | Corey Day | Hendrick Motorsports | Chevrolet |
| 12 | 21 | Austin Hill | Richard Childress Racing | Chevrolet |
| 13 | 2 | Jesse Love | Richard Childress Racing | Chevrolet |
| 14 | 39 | Ryan Sieg | RSS Racing | Chevrolet |
| 15 | 99 | Parker Retzlaff | Viking Motorsports | Chevrolet |
| 16 | 9 | Jake Finch | JR Motorsports | Chevrolet |
| 17 | 96 | Anthony Alfredo | Viking Motorsports | Chevrolet |
| 18 | 51 | Jeremy Clements | Jeremy Clements Racing | Chevrolet |
| 19 | 87 | Nicholas Sanchez | Peterson Racing Group | Chevrolet |
| 20 | 27 | Jeb Burton | Jordan Anderson Racing Bommarito Autosport | Chevrolet |
| 21 | 24 | Harrison Burton | Sam Hunt Racing | Toyota |
| 22 | 26 | Dean Thompson | Sam Hunt Racing | Toyota |
| 23 | 44 | Brennan Poole | Alpha Prime Racing | Chevrolet |
| 24 | 28 | Kyle Sieg | RSS Racing | Chevrolet |
| 25 | 31 | Blaine Perkins | Jordan Anderson Racing Bommarito Autosport | Chevrolet |
| 26 | 32 | Andrew Patterson | Jordan Anderson Racing Bommarito Autosport | Chevrolet |
| 27 | 48 | Patrick Staropoli | Big Machine Racing | Chevrolet |
| 28 | 91 | Stefan Parsons | DGM Racing x JIM | Chevrolet |
| 29 | 38 | JJ Yeley | RSS Racing | Ford |
| 30 | 92 | Josh Williams | DGM Racing x JIM | Chevrolet |
| 31 | 45 | Lavar Scott | Alpha Prime Racing | Chevrolet |
| 32 | 02 | Ryan Ellis | Young's Motorsports | Chevrolet |
| 33 | 55 | David Starr | Joey Gase Motorsports | Chevrolet |
| 34 | 07 | Josh Bilicki | SS GreenLight Racing | Chevrolet |
| 35 | 42 | Logan Bearden | Young's Motorsports | Chevrolet |
| 36 | 0 | Garrett Smithley | SS GreenLight Racing | Chevrolet |
| 37 | 47 | Natalie Decker | Mike Harmon Racing | Chevrolet |
| 38 | 53 | Carson Ware | Joey Gase Motorsports | Chevrolet |
Trucks: UNOH 250
Note: Updated after qualifying
| Pred Fin | Car # | Driver | Team | Make |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | Layne Riggs | Front Row Motorsports | Ford |
| 2 | 11 | Kaden Honeycutt | TRICON Garage | Toyota |
| 3 | 38 | Chandler Smith | Front Row Motorsports | Ford |
| 4 | 88 | Ty Majeski | ThorSport Racing | Ford |
| 5 | 17 | Giovanni Ruggiero | TRICON Garage | Toyota |
| 6 | 91 | Christian Eckes | McAnally Hilgemann Racing | Chevrolet |
| 7 | 77 | Tristan McKee | Spire Motorsports | Chevrolet |
| 8 | 9 | Grant Enfinger | CR7 Motorsports | Chevrolet |
| 9 | 7 | Connor Mosack | Spire Motorsports | Chevrolet |
| 10 | 75 | Nicholas Sanchez | Henderson Motorsports | Chevrolet |
| 11 | 98 | Jake Garcia | ThorSport Racing | Ford |
| 12 | 52 | Stewart Friesen | Halmar Friesen Racing | Toyota |
| 13 | 99 | Ben Rhodes | ThorSport Racing | Ford |
| 14 | 19 | Daniel Hemric | McAnally Hilgemann Racing | Chevrolet |
| 15 | 62 | William Sawalich | Halmar Friesen Racing | Toyota |
| 16 | 18 | Tyler Ankrum | McAnally Hilgemann Racing | Chevrolet |
| 17 | 1 | Nick Leitz | TRICON Garage | Toyota |
| 18 | 5 | Bayley Currey | TRICON Garage | Toyota |
| 19 | 45 | Landen Lewis | Niece Motorsports | Chevrolet |
| 20 | 44 | Andres Perez De Lara | Niece Motorsports | Chevrolet |
| 21 | 15 | Tanner Gray | TRICON Garage | Toyota |
| 22 | 42 | Parker Eatmon | Niece Motorsports | Chevrolet |
| 23 | 16 | Justin Haley | Kaulig Racing | RAM |
| 24 | 10 | Corey LaJoie | Kaulig Racing | RAM |
| 25 | 13 | Cole Butcher | ThorSport Racing | Ford |
| 26 | 12 | Brenden Queen | Kaulig Racing | RAM |
| 27 | 4 | Connor Hall | Niece Motorsports | Chevrolet |
| 28 | 25 | Regan Smith | Kaulig Racing | RAM |
| 29 | 26 | Dawson Sutton | Rackley W.A.R. | Chevrolet |
| 30 | 14 | Mini Tyrrell | Kaulig Racing | RAM |
| 31 | 56 | Timmy Hill | Hill Motorsports | Toyota |
| 32 | 81 | Kris Wright | McAnally Hilgemann Racing | Chevrolet |
| 33 | 2 | Luke Baldwin | Team Reaume | Ford |
| 34 | 76 | Caden Kvapil | Freedom Racing Enterprises | Chevrolet |
| 35 | 22 | Jackson MacEnko | Team Reaume | Ford |
| 36 | 33 | Frankie Muniz | Team Reaume | Ford |