CupO'Reilly
Projected Results: Cup and O'Reilly at Las Vegas Motor Speedway
Saturday, October 3, 2026 at 9:09 PM
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Thumbnail: Chris Graythen / Getty Images
Here are Statcar's projected results for the Cup and O'Reilly Series races this weekend at Las Vegas Motor Speedway; these projections will be updated following qualifying for each series.
Please take into consideration that these rankings are generated with the goal of minimizing error between predicted and actual finishing position, so the drivers are being ordered in the "safest" way possible. Check the "This Week's Odds" page for Statcar's actual betting odds for the weekend!
Cup: South Point 400
Note: Updated after qualifying
| Pred Fin | Car # | Driver | Team | Make |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | Christopher Bell | Joe Gibbs Racing | Toyota |
| 2 | 5 | Kyle Larson | Hendrick Motorsports | Chevrolet |
| 3 | 11 | Denny Hamlin | Joe Gibbs Racing | Toyota |
| 4 | 19 | Chase Briscoe | Joe Gibbs Racing | Toyota |
| 5 | 24 | William Byron | Hendrick Motorsports | Chevrolet |
| 6 | 45 | Tyler Reddick | 23XI Racing | Toyota |
| 7 | 54 | Ty Gibbs | Joe Gibbs Racing | Toyota |
| 8 | 23 | Bubba Wallace | 23XI Racing | Toyota |
| 9 | 9 | Chase Elliott | Hendrick Motorsports | Chevrolet |
| 10 | 12 | Ryan Blaney | Team Penske | Ford |
| 11 | 77 | Carson Hocevar | Spire Motorsports | Chevrolet |
| 12 | 2 | Austin Cindric | Team Penske | Ford |
| 13 | 7 | Daniel Suárez | Spire Motorsports | Chevrolet |
| 14 | 17 | Chris Buescher | RFK Racing | Ford |
| 15 | 22 | Joey Logano | Team Penske | Ford |
| 16 | 60 | Ryan Preece | RFK Racing | Ford |
| 17 | 48 | Alex Bowman | Hendrick Motorsports | Chevrolet |
| 18 | 6 | Brad Keselowski | RFK Racing | Ford |
| 19 | 71 | Michael McDowell | Spire Motorsports | Chevrolet |
| 20 | 1 | Ross Chastain | Trackhouse Racing | Chevrolet |
| 21 | 35 | Riley Herbst | 23XI Racing | Toyota |
| 22 | 43 | Erik Jones | Legacy Motor Club | Toyota |
| 23 | 3 | Austin Dillon | Richard Childress Racing | Chevrolet |
| 24 | 38 | Zane Smith | Front Row Motorsports | Ford |
| 25 | 16 | AJ Allmendinger | Kaulig Racing | Chevrolet |
| 26 | 97 | Shane Van Gisbergen | Trackhouse Racing | Chevrolet |
| 27 | 34 | Todd Gilliland | Front Row Motorsports | Ford |
| 28 | 21 | Josh Berry | Wood Brothers Racing | Ford |
| 29 | 4 | Noah Gragson | Front Row Motorsports | Ford |
| 30 | 42 | John H. Nemechek | Legacy Motor Club | Toyota |
| 31 | 88 | Connor Zilisch | Trackhouse Racing | Chevrolet |
| 32 | 47 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr | HYAK Motorsports | Chevrolet |
| 33 | 41 | Cole Custer | Haas Factory Team | Chevrolet |
| 34 | 33 | Austin Hill | Richard Childress Racing | Chevrolet |
| 35 | 10 | Ty Dillon | Kaulig Racing | Chevrolet |
| 36 | 51 | Cody Ware | Rick Ware Racing | Chevrolet |
O'Reilly: Focused Health 302
Note: Updated after qualifying
| Pred Fin | Car # | Driver | Team | Make |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | Justin Allgaier | JR Motorsports | Chevrolet |
| 2 | 19 | Brent Crews | Joe Gibbs Racing | Toyota |
| 3 | 54 | Taylor Gray | Joe Gibbs Racing | Toyota |
| 4 | 00 | Sheldon Creed | Haas Factory Team | Chevrolet |
| 5 | 1 | Carson Kvapil | JR Motorsports | Chevrolet |
| 6 | 20 | Brandon Jones | Joe Gibbs Racing | Toyota |
| 7 | 2 | Jesse Love | Richard Childress Racing | Chevrolet |
| 8 | 17 | Corey Day | Hendrick Motorsports | Chevrolet |
| 9 | 21 | Austin Hill | Richard Childress Racing | Chevrolet |
| 10 | 41 | Sam Mayer | Haas Factory Team | Chevrolet |
| 11 | 88 | Rajah Caruth | JR Motorsports | Chevrolet |
| 12 | 18 | William Sawalich | Joe Gibbs Racing | Toyota |
| 13 | 8 | Sammy Smith | JR Motorsports | Chevrolet |
| 14 | 39 | Ryan Sieg | RSS Racing | Chevrolet |
| 15 | 51 | Jeremy Clements | Jeremy Clements Racing | Chevrolet |
| 16 | 99 | Parker Retzlaff | Viking Motorsports | Chevrolet |
| 17 | 96 | Anthony Alfredo | Viking Motorsports | Chevrolet |
| 18 | 87 | Lee Pulliam | Peterson Racing Group | Chevrolet |
| 19 | 27 | Jeb Burton | Jordan Anderson Racing Bommarito Autosport | Chevrolet |
| 20 | 24 | Harrison Burton | Sam Hunt Racing | Toyota |
| 21 | 26 | Dean Thompson | Sam Hunt Racing | Toyota |
| 22 | 28 | Kyle Sieg | RSS Racing | Chevrolet |
| 23 | 44 | Brennan Poole | Alpha Prime Racing | Ford |
| 24 | 32 | Andrew Patterson | Jordan Anderson Racing Bommarito Autosport | Chevrolet |
| 25 | 31 | Blaine Perkins | Jordan Anderson Racing Bommarito Autosport | Chevrolet |
| 26 | 48 | Patrick Staropoli | Big Machine Racing | Chevrolet |
| 27 | 42 | Matt DiBenedetto | Young's Motorsports | Chevrolet |
| 28 | 92 | Josh Williams | DGM Racing x JIM | Chevrolet |
| 29 | 45 | Lavar Scott | Alpha Prime Racing | Chevrolet |
| 30 | 02 | Ryan Ellis | Young's Motorsports | Chevrolet |
| 31 | 91 | Mason Maggio | DGM Racing x JIM | Chevrolet |
| 32 | 0 | Garrett Smithley | SS GreenLight Racing | Chevrolet |
| 33 | 07 | Josh Bilicki | SS GreenLight Racing | Chevrolet |
| 34 | 55 | Joey Gase | Joey Gase Motorsports | Ford |
| 35 | 47 | Dawson Cram | Mike Harmon Racing | Chevrolet |
| 36 | 53 | Blake Lothian | Joey Gase Motorsports | Chevrolet |